If I were the manager of the Boston Red Sox, here is how things would go tonight:
* Start Josh Beckett. I know that historically pitchers going on three days rest in the post season have not fared well. FOX even flashed the stats last night in anticipation of this very issue. However, there are two things that sway me. First, Josh Beckett is literally the exception to the rule. Case in point, his World Series clinching complete game shutout of the Yankees in the Bronx in 2003. Would I expect another complete game from him under the circumstances? No. Simply put, that would vault him from "proven post season stud" to "October God." However, he is stronger now than he has ever been before, and there's a very good chance that he could give us a shut down performance of six innings or more, which is something we desperately need since no Sox starter has come close to doing that since he did in game one.
The other issue is Tim Wakefield. I love Wake. We all do. If you are a Sox fan from New England, you must treat Tim Wakefield like a regional treasure. However, that doesn't change the facts:
A. He is 41 years old.
B. He missed the first round with a bad back and hasn't pitched a real game since September 29.
C. He was brutal down the stretch, winning just once in his last five starts and allowing at least four runs in every September start.
Like I said, I love Wake, and he has every chance to come up huge tonight. But if the strike zone is anything like last night's fiasco, we could be in for a long night, and with the way our bullpen has been taxed that's the last thing we need. This is a complete crap shoot.
* Shake up the order. Dustin Pedroia looks a little uneasy and very impatient at the top of the order. You can't fault him. The kid's a rookie and he has been a star since April, but that is not what we need at the top of the order right now. Meanwhile, the bottom of the order has essentially been a black hole, Varitek's dinger last night being the exception. If I got to fill out the lineup card, here is what it would look like tonight:
1. Jacoby Ellsbury, CF...give the kid a chance.
2. Kevin Youkilis, 1B
3. David Ortiz, DH
4. Manny Ramirez, LF
5. Mike Lowell, 3B
6. JD Drew, RF (ugh)
7. Dustin Pedroia, 2B
8. Jason Varitek, C (Tek because Beckett would be pitching for me)
9. Julio Lugo, SS
I'm really worried tonight. However, if we can win this one we're in great shape for the rest of the series.
A rain out would also be lovely.
Tuesday, October 16, 2007
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